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If you go back to that post, you will see that they are comparing the highest paid MAPD scenario with one of the lowest paid Med Supps. That's the "ifs" they came up with. Not a very accurate portrayal. So, when you change the "ifs" around, you can make it sound the way you want it to.
Here's an example in your state. Let's say you do a Male, 65, NT with Medico. That's 117.07 per month. Not a bad price. At 33% commission in MI, you will make $463.60 for the 1st 3 years. That's $1390.80 in the first 3 years. With a MAPD, you would make $601 the first year and $301 the next 2 years. That's $1203.
So, IF you look at 3 years, Med Supp wins.
Like I said, you can plug in a lot of IFS and make it work the way you want it to.
That's a fair argument. The issue is when you cout year 4+ its dunzo. Which is why I'm saying MS just barely wins out.
But you can definitely change the argument by reframing it.